OVC Tournament Probabilities

Murray State won the regular season title by a whopping six games and, not surprisingly, is the favorite to win the OVC tournament. Each game of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament is played at the Nashville Auditorium (neutral site). The numbers in this table are the probabilities that a team will advance to each round of the tournament. Numbers to the left of team names indicate tournament seed. The OVC tournament begins on March 4.

1st Rd Semifinals Finals Champion
1   Murray State 100.0 100.0 82.1 66.2
2   Eastern Kentucky 100.0 100.0 61.3 17.4
3   Belmont 100.0 62.8 25.7 5.5
5   Morehead State 71.7 42.8 10.1 5.1
4   Tennessee-Martin 100.0 45.0 8.4 3.6
6   Eastern Illinois 56.2 23.6 7.5 1.1
7   SIU-Edwardsville 43.8 15.7 4.1 0.5
8   Southeast Missouri 28.3 10.2 1.0 0.3


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