Horizon League Tournament Win Probabilities

The numbers in this table are the probabilities that a team will advance to each round of the tournament. The first round games (for seeds 5-8) of the Horizon League tournament are played at the home site of the higher seeded team. The quarterfinals and semifinals are hosted by the 1-seed (Valparaiso). The championship game is played at the home site of the highest remaining seed team. Numbers to the left of team names indicate tournament seed. The Horizon League tournament begins on March 3.

Quarterfinal Semifinals Final Champion
1   Valparaiso 100.0 100.0 72.6 50.2
2   Green Bay 100.0 100.0 87.0 39.8
4   Cleveland State 100.0 85.2 24.9 7.3
3   Oakland 100.0 85.2 12.7 2.4
5   Detroit 78.3 12.3 1.8 0.2
7   Wright State 45.0 8.2 0.5 0.05
6   Illinois-Chicago 55.0 7.3 0.3 0.02
8   Youngstown St. 21.7 1.8 0.1 0.01


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