BracketAdvice is taking a break for 2019. We’ll look into a potential relaunch in the future.

Here are our updated odds of each team advancing from the Sweet 16 through the championship game.
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These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.
This tough region has a number of upset opportunities. 11 seed Loyola and 12 seed Davidson in particular have chances to bust a lot of brackets in this region.
Virginia is as close as this tournament has to a clear favorite with Cincinnati as the most plausible obstacle.
No obvious upset opportunities present themselves in this region, excepting 9 seed Florida State as the slight favorite to win their first game.
The later rounds will be much more interesting in the West. 4 seed Gonzaga and 2 seed North Carolina have the best chances to advance, with Xavier, Michigan, Ohio State, and even Houston with reasonable chances to make the Final Four.
10 seed Butler headlines the first round upset chances in the East. In the second round, our model likes Texas Tech as a significant favorite to make the Sweet 16.
Our model has Villanova and Purdue as both roughly equally likely to win the region and advance.
12 seed New Mexico State has a real chance to beat Clemson in the first round, and TCU will have its hands full with Syracuse if they win their play-in game.
We have both Duke and Michigan State as more likely to advance than top seed Kansas.
The East/Midwest pairing is the most interesting matchup here; Purdue, Villanova, Duke, and Michigan State are all reasonable choices to advance to the championship game.
BracketAdvice has Virginia as a clear favorite to crush whoever advances in the West region and then win its first national championship.
Here are our odds of each team advancing through each round of the 2018 men’s tournament.
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Final Four | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Semifinals | National Championship Game | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.
Here are our updated odds of each team advancing from the Sweet 16 through the championship game.
Regional Semis | Regional Champion | Semifinals | Championship | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.
This brutal region has 6 of the top 13 teams in the BracketAdvice Ratings.
The first round looks relatively upset free, with the exception of 10-seed Marquette as a good bet to advance. Wisconsin has the best chance of the 8 seeds in any region to advance. In the second round, our model has Virginia as a clear favorite to advance, and Baylor has a fight on its hands against SMU to reach the Sweet 16.
Villanova is the clear favorite to emerge from the gauntlet of excellent teams in the East, with Duke and Virginia as plausible spoilers.
Xavier is well positioned to win a 1st round game, and is the highest seed (11) we have listed as the favorite in their first round game. Congratulations to Northwestern for making the field, we have them basically as a tossup to win their first ever NCAA game.
Our model has St. Mary’s as a very strong team and even lists them as a favorite over Pac-10 champ Arizona. Gonzaga has as clear a path as any team in any region to the Final Four, if they can get past a likely matchup against an underrated West Virginia squad in the Elite Eight.
This region might provide the best first round games to watch. The 8 Miami / 9 Michigan State, 7 Michigan / 10 Oklahoma State, and the 6 Creighton / 11 Rhode Island games should all be close.
The model likes 2-seed Louisville as a favorite over top seed Kansas, with Oregon and Purdue as potential spoilers.
The most “shocking” result here according to BracketAdvice is Wichita State getting a 10 seed. We have them not just advancing in the first round against overmatched Dayton, but as a tossup to beat perennial powerhouse Kentucky in the Sweet 16. Watch out for 12 seed Middle Tennessee State against 5 seed Minnesota, this may be the most likely 12 seed to win their first round game.
We have North Carolina most likely advancing against the Wichita State / Kentucky winner.
The bracket is left-heavy this year, with the tough East and West regions clearly stronger than Midwest and South. The “real” championship might be played in the semifinals — we have Gonzaga and Villanova as the top two teams and they’d play each other first. The right half of the bracket is more of a tossup, with Louisville and UNC as the most likely opponents.
BracketAdvice has Gonzaga as a clear favorite over Villanova to advance to and win the 2017 NCAA Championship, even though the teams are pretty evenly matched, because of the relative strength of Villanova’s regional opponents.
Here are our odds of each team advancing through each round of the 2017 men’s tournament.
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Final Four | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Semifinals | National Championship Game | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.
Less than an hour until the selection show begins and we’ve run the model one last time. With Rhode Island taking care of business and winning the A-10 title (and avoiding Dayton in the process), the picture has become a bit more clear.
At the start of the day, the field was more or less set. Our model showed three teams up for one final at-large spot. Wake Forest and USC have probably done enough to make the field. That left Rhode Island, Illinois State, and Kansas State alive for the last team in. Rhode Island removed themselves from that conversation by grabbing the autobid from the A-10.
The last four in according to our model are:
Wake Forest (76.2%)
USC (63.5%)
Providence (58.6%)
Kansas St. (53.2%)
That leaves out Illinois State. For what it’s worth, we still give Illinois State a 39% chance of making the field, but it’s a bit of a long shot from our perspective.
I’ve seen some talk of Syracuse being in play for one of the last spots in the field. I just don’t see that happening. The Orange (currently 84th) would have an RPI 17 spots worse that the previous lowest-ranked RPI to receive an at-large bid (67th – USC in 2011). Despite Syracuse’s 6 top-50 wins (all of which came at home), they went 2-11 away from home with the only wins coming against Clemson and NC State and picked up bad losses to Boston College, Georgetown, and St. John’s (the latter two coming at home) along the way. Our model gives Cuse a 2.8% of making the tournament, so there is a very small chance that the committee may surprise us this year and break from their past tendencies in selecting the field, but I wouldn’t count on it.
Our model is built on data from past tournaments and, therefore, the percentages in this table reflect the likelihood that a team will receive an at-large bid given their resume based on historical trends in the selection of at-large teams. Our model ranks teams by the probability of receiving an at-large bid in the case that a team doesn’t receive an automatic bid..
We’ll see how it all shakes out soon, but enjoy the selection show!
Team | Conference | Wins | Losses | NCAA Probability | RPI | SOS |
Villanova | Big East | 27 | 3 | 100% | 1 | 30 |
Kansas | Big 12 | 27 | 3 | 100% | 2 | 35 |
Florida | SEC | 24 | 6 | 100% | 3 | 6 |
Oregon | Pac-12 | 26 | 4 | 100% | 4 | 32 |
North Carolina | ACC | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5 | 25 |
Louisville | ACC | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6 | 3 |
Baylor | Big 12 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 7 | 4 |
Kentucky | SEC | 25 | 5 | 100% | 8 | 16 |
Arizona | Pac-12 | 26 | 4 | 100% | 9 | 31 |
Butler | Big East | 23 | 6 | 100% | 10 | 12 |
Gonzaga | West Coast | 29 | 1 | 100% | 11 | 103 |
Florida State | ACC | 23 | 7 | 100% | 12 | 26 |
Duke | ACC | 23 | 7 | 100% | 13 | 23 |
Cincinnati | American | 26 | 4 | 100% | 14 | 71 |
Virginia | ACC | 20 | 9 | 100% | 15 | 5 |
UCLA | Pac-12 | 27 | 3 | 100% | 16 | 136 |
Minnesota | Big Ten | 23 | 7 | 100% | 17 | 19 |
Saint Mary’s | West Coast | 26 | 3 | 100% | 18 | 84 |
Purdue | Big Ten | 24 | 6 | 100% | 20 | 66 |
Dayton | Atlantic 10 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 21 | 72 |
Notre Dame | ACC | 23 | 7 | 100% | 22 | 48 |
West Virginia | Big 12 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 24 | 73 |
Creighton | Big East | 23 | 7 | 99% | 26 | 63 |
Southern Methodist | American | 26 | 4 | 98.70% | 19 | 122 |
Iowa State | Big 12 | 20 | 9 | 98.60% | 30 | 39 |
Virginia Tech | ACC | 21 | 8 | 98.50% | 32 | 82 |
Miami (FL) | ACC | 20 | 9 | 98.50% | 34 | 44 |
South Carolina | SEC | 22 | 8 | 98.10% | 28 | 45 |
Arkansas | SEC | 22 | 8 | 97.30% | 27 | 57 |
Maryland | Big Ten | 23 | 7 | 97.20% | 25 | 47 |
Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 20 | 10 | 96.70% | 29 | 27 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Atlantic 10 | 23 | 7 | 95.80% | 23 | 59 |
Southern California | Pac-12 | 22 | 8 | 91.80% | 35 | 70 |
Xavier | Big East | 18 | 12 | 83.80% | 31 | 8 |
Middle Tennessee | C-USA | 26 | 4 | 83.30% | 39 | 153 |
Michigan State | Big Ten | 18 | 12 | 82.30% | 46 | 11 |
Wisconsin | Big Ten | 22 | 8 | 81.40% | 43 | 104 |
Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 27 | 4 | 79.70% | 41 | 193 |
Northwestern | Big Ten | 21 | 9 | 78.60% | 45 | 76 |
Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 25 | 5 | 72.50% | 33 | 163 |
Wake Forest | ACC | 17 | 12 | 71.60% | 38 | 13 |
Texas-Arlington | Sun Belt | 24 | 6 | 69.60% | 37 | 155 |
Michigan | Big Ten | 19 | 11 | 61.70% | 48 | 34 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | Colonial | 26 | 5 | 54.90% | 36 | 150 |
Providence | Big East | 19 | 11 | 53.20% | 54 | 41 |
Rhode Island | Atlantic 10 | 20 | 9 | 50.10% | 42 | 52 |
Illinois | Big Ten | 18 | 12 | 41.40% | 55 | 15 |
Marquette | Big East | 18 | 11 | 40.20% | 59 | 68 |
Monmouth | Metro Atlantic | 26 | 5 | 39.20% | 44 | 178 |
Nevada | Mountain West | 24 | 6 | 35.30% | 40 | 159 |
Seton Hall | Big East | 19 | 10 | 32.20% | 50 | 60 |
Vanderbilt | SEC | 16 | 14 | 26.80% | 47 | 2 |
Houston | American | 20 | 9 | 21.50% | 51 | 58 |
Clemson | ACC | 15 | 14 | 21.30% | 61 | 17 |
California | Pac-12 | 19 | 10 | 19.70% | 53 | 37 |
Kansas State | Big 12 | 18 | 12 | 19% | 58 | 53 |
Vermont | America East | 27 | 5 | 15.90% | 52 | 217 |
Belmont | Ohio Valley | 22 | 5 | 15.60% | 57 | 225 |
Georgia | SEC | 18 | 12 | 10.10% | 49 | 14 |
Ohio State | Big Ten | 17 | 13 | 9.40% | 65 | 33 |
Iowa | Big Ten | 17 | 13 | 7.90% | 71 | 40 |
Princeton | Ivy League | 19 | 6 | 7.20% | 56 | 154 |
Valparaiso | Horizon | 24 | 7 | 6.90% | 62 | 202 |
Syracuse | ACC | 17 | 13 | 5.10% | 78 | 55 |
Pittsburgh | ACC | 15 | 15 | 4.90% | 69 | 9 |
College of Charleston | Colonial | 23 | 8 | 3.90% | 60 | 160 |
Texas Christian | Big 12 | 17 | 13 | 3.40% | 66 | 24 |
Akron | Mid American | 23 | 7 | 2.20% | 64 | 185 |
New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 24 | 5 | 1.90% | 63 | 261 |
Brigham Young | West Coast | 21 | 10 | 1.50% | 68 | 97 |
Utah | Pac-12 | 19 | 10 | 0.90% | 73 | 113 |
East Tennessee State | Southern | 24 | 7 | 0.80% | 70 | 230 |
Bucknell | Patriot | 24 | 8 | 0.80% | 72 | 224 |
Georgia Tech | ACC | 17 | 13 | 0.70% | 91 | 56 |
Boise State | Mountain West | 18 | 10 | 0.60% | 67 | 85 |
Central Florida | American | 20 | 10 | 0.50% | 77 | 132 |
Indiana | Big Ten | 16 | 14 | 0.50% | 92 | 36 |
Mississippi | SEC | 18 | 12 | 0.40% | 75 | 69 |
Winthrop | Big South | 24 | 6 | 0.40% | 80 | 251 |
Texas A&M | SEC | 16 | 13 | 0.40% | 85 | 54 |
North Carolina-Asheville | Big South | 23 | 9 | 0.30% | 74 | 194 |
Cal State Bakersfield | Western Athletic | 21 | 7 | 0.30% | 79 | 256 |
Stanford | Pac-12 | 14 | 15 | 0.30% | 81 | 7 |
Tennessee | SEC | 15 | 15 | 0.30% | 82 | 20 |
Alabama | SEC | 17 | 12 | 0.20% | 83 | 77 |
Colorado State | Mountain West | 21 | 9 | 0.10% | 76 | 124 |
Richmond | Atlantic 10 | 18 | 11 | 0.10% | 84 | 90 |
Nebraska | Big Ten | 12 | 17 | 0.10% | 87 | 1 |
San Francisco | West Coast | 20 | 11 | 0.10% | 89 | 110 |
Florida Gulf Coast | Atlantic Sun | 25 | 7 | 0.10% | 96 | 245 |
Texas Tech | Big 12 | 18 | 12 | 0.10% | 100 | 101 |
Fresno State | Mountain West | 18 | 11 | 0% | 86 | 130 |
New Mexico | Mountain West | 16 | 13 | 0% | 88 | 50 |
Auburn | SEC | 17 | 13 | 0% | 89 | 91 |
Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 20 | 10 | 0% | 93 | 204 |
Penn State | Big Ten | 14 | 16 | 0% | 94 | 21 |
St. Bonaventure | Atlantic 10 | 18 | 11 | 0% | 94 | 126 |
Georgetown | Big East | 14 | 16 | 0% | 97 | 22 |
Towson | Colonial | 19 | 12 | 0% | 98 | 120 |
Furman | Southern | 21 | 10 | 0% | 99 | 201 |
San Diego State | Mountain West | 17 | 12 | 0% | 101 | 95 |
Northern Kentucky | Horizon | 21 | 10 | 0% | 102 | 199 |
Oakland | Horizon | 24 | 7 | 0% | 103 | 274 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | Southern | 23 | 8 | 0% | 104 | 249 |
North Dakota State | Summit | 19 | 10 | 0% | 104 | 165 |
Colorado | Pac-12 | 17 | 13 | 0% | 106 | 125 |
Davidson | Atlantic 10 | 15 | 13 | 0% | 106 | 83 |
South Dakota | Summit | 21 | 10 | 0% | 106 | 228 |
George Washington | Atlantic 10 | 17 | 13 | 0% | 109 | 127 |
George Mason | Atlantic 10 | 19 | 11 | 0% | 110 | 156 |
Tulsa | American | 14 | 15 | 0% | 111 | 38 |
North Carolina State | ACC | 15 | 16 | 0% | 112 | 43 |
Connecticut | American | 14 | 15 | 0% | 113 | 51 |
Louisiana Tech | C-USA | 21 | 9 | 0% | 114 | 231 |
Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 18 | 12 | 0% | 115 | 166 |
Memphis | American | 19 | 11 | 0% | 116 | 168 |
Wright State | Horizon | 20 | 11 | 0% | 117 | 173 |
Lehigh | Patriot | 19 | 11 | 0% | 118 | 207 |
Iona | Metro Atlantic | 19 | 12 | 0% | 119 | 175 |
St. John’s (NY) | Big East | 13 | 17 | 0% | 120 | 46 |
Old Dominion | C-USA | 19 | 10 | 0% | 121 | 197 |
Temple | American | 15 | 15 | 0% | 121 | 65 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | Sun Belt | 19 | 11 | 0% | 123 | 176 |
Northeastern | Colonial | 15 | 15 | 0% | 123 | 100 |
William & Mary | Colonial | 16 | 13 | 0% | 123 | 129 |
Ohio | Mid American | 18 | 10 | 0% | 126 | 184 |
Georgia State | Sun Belt | 18 | 11 | 0% | 127 | 183 |
La Salle | Atlantic 10 | 14 | 14 | 0% | 128 | 78 |
Texas Southern | SWAC | 19 | 11 | 0% | 129 | 305 |
Chattanooga | Southern | 19 | 11 | 0% | 130 | 218 |
Arizona State | Pac-12 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 131 | 62 |
Harvard | Ivy League | 18 | 7 | 0% | 132 | 288 |
Eastern Washington | Big Sky | 21 | 9 | 0% | 133 | 296 |
Saint Peter’s | Metro Atlantic | 18 | 12 | 0% | 134 | 195 |
Marshall | C-USA | 16 | 14 | 0% | 135 | 105 |
New Hampshire | America East | 20 | 11 | 0% | 136 | 219 |
Yale | Ivy League | 15 | 10 | 0% | 137 | 215 |
Wyoming | Mountain West | 17 | 13 | 0% | 138 | 147 |
Buffalo | Mid American | 16 | 14 | 0% | 139 | 121 |
Nebraska-Omaha | Summit | 16 | 13 | 0% | 140 | 174 |
Mississippi State | SEC | 14 | 15 | 0% | 141 | 79 |
Loyola Marymount | West Coast | 15 | 14 | 0% | 142 | 87 |
Siena | Metro Atlantic | 15 | 16 | 0% | 142 | 92 |
Rice | C-USA | 21 | 9 | 0% | 144 | 273 |
Green Bay | Horizon | 18 | 12 | 0% | 145 | 227 |
Elon | Colonial | 18 | 13 | 0% | 146 | 192 |
Santa Clara | West Coast | 16 | 15 | 0% | 147 | 107 |
Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 16 | 15 | 0% | 148 | 106 |
Albany (NY) | America East | 20 | 12 | 0% | 149 | 242 |
Northern Iowa | Missouri Valley | 14 | 15 | 0% | 150 | 94 |
Grand Canyon | Western Athletic | 21 | 9 | 0% | 151 | 301 |
California-Irvine | Big West | 18 | 13 | 0% | 152 | 211 |
Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10 | 19 | 0% | 153 | 28 |
Eastern Michigan | Mid American | 15 | 15 | 0% | 154 | 86 |
Canisius | Metro Atlantic | 18 | 14 | 0% | 155 | 214 |
Washington State | Pac-12 | 13 | 16 | 0% | 156 | 49 |
Tennessee-Martin | Ohio Valley | 20 | 11 | 0% | 157 | 299 |
Texas | Big 12 | 10 | 20 | 0% | 158 | 10 |
Louisiana State | SEC | 10 | 19 | 0% | 159 | 18 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | Southland | 18 | 10 | 0% | 160 | 300 |
Loyola (IL) | Missouri Valley | 18 | 13 | 0% | 161 | 209 |
UMBC | America East | 18 | 12 | 0% | 161 | 244 |
Tennessee State | Ohio Valley | 17 | 13 | 0% | 163 | 196 |
Toledo | Mid American | 15 | 15 | 0% | 164 | 99 |
Stony Brook | America East | 18 | 12 | 0% | 165 | 239 |
IPFW | Summit | 19 | 11 | 0% | 166 | 281 |
Houston Baptist | Southland | 16 | 12 | 0% | 167 | 179 |
Mount St. Mary’s | Northeast | 17 | 15 | 0% | 168 | 188 |
San Jose State | Mountain West | 14 | 14 | 0% | 169 | 117 |
Western Michigan | Mid American | 14 | 15 | 0% | 170 | 119 |
Fairfield | Metro Atlantic | 16 | 13 | 0% | 171 | 221 |
Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 15 | 15 | 0% | 172 | 81 |
Rutgers | Big Ten | 13 | 17 | 0% | 173 | 93 |
Boston University | Patriot | 18 | 13 | 0% | 174 | 250 |
Liberty | Big South | 19 | 13 | 0% | 175 | 210 |
Samford | Southern | 17 | 14 | 0% | 176 | 205 |
Kent State | Mid American | 18 | 12 | 0% | 177 | 277 |
Ball State | Mid American | 19 | 11 | 0% | 178 | 308 |
Hofstra | Colonial | 15 | 16 | 0% | 179 | 143 |
Alabama-Birmingham | C-USA | 16 | 14 | 0% | 180 | 161 |
Evansville | Missouri Valley | 16 | 16 | 0% | 181 | 111 |
North Dakota | Big Sky | 18 | 9 | 0% | 182 | 322 |
Jacksonville State | Ohio Valley | 18 | 14 | 0% | 183 | 284 |
Massachusetts | Atlantic 10 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 184 | 123 |
Troy | Sun Belt | 17 | 14 | 0% | 185 | 222 |
Lipscomb | Atlantic Sun | 20 | 13 | 0% | 186 | 262 |
Missouri-Kansas City | Western Athletic | 15 | 15 | 0% | 187 | 96 |
Sam Houston State | Southland | 19 | 11 | 0% | 188 | 285 |
Mercer | Southern | 15 | 16 | 0% | 189 | 142 |
Gardner-Webb | Big South | 19 | 13 | 0% | 190 | 287 |
Utah State | Mountain West | 14 | 16 | 0% | 191 | 98 |
Pennsylvania | Ivy League | 12 | 13 | 0% | 192 | 198 |
Saint Joseph’s | Atlantic 10 | 10 | 19 | 0% | 192 | 64 |
California-Davis | Big West | 19 | 11 | 0% | 194 | 332 |
New Orleans | Southland | 17 | 11 | 0% | 195 | 295 |
San Diego | West Coast | 13 | 17 | 0% | 196 | 109 |
Rider | Metro Atlantic | 18 | 14 | 0% | 197 | 312 |
Wofford | Southern | 15 | 16 | 0% | 198 | 164 |
South Dakota State | Summit | 15 | 16 | 0% | 199 | 167 |
Texas State | Sun Belt | 17 | 12 | 0% | 199 | 302 |
Weber State | Big Sky | 16 | 12 | 0% | 201 | 283 |
Denver | Summit | 16 | 13 | 0% | 202 | 294 |
Morehead State | Ohio Valley | 14 | 16 | 0% | 203 | 146 |
Holy Cross | Patriot | 15 | 17 | 0% | 204 | 208 |
Boston College | ACC | 9 | 21 | 0% | 205 | 29 |
Fordham | Atlantic 10 | 13 | 17 | 0% | 206 | 128 |
Loyola (MD) | Patriot | 15 | 16 | 0% | 207 | 206 |
Washington | Pac-12 | 9 | 20 | 0% | 208 | 42 |
Central Michigan | Mid American | 16 | 14 | 0% | 209 | 234 |
Navy | Patriot | 16 | 15 | 0% | 210 | 203 |
Utah Valley | Western Athletic | 13 | 15 | 0% | 211 | 177 |
Missouri State | Missouri Valley | 16 | 15 | 0% | 212 | 247 |
Montana | Big Sky | 15 | 15 | 0% | 213 | 260 |
Idaho | Big Sky | 16 | 12 | 0% | 214 | 306 |
Radford | Big South | 14 | 17 | 0% | 215 | 172 |
Stephen F. Austin | Southland | 16 | 13 | 0% | 216 | 291 |
Bowling Green State | Mid American | 13 | 17 | 0% | 217 | 135 |
North Carolina Central | MEAC | 22 | 8 | 0% | 218 | 351 |
Long Beach State | Big West | 13 | 18 | 0% | 219 | 181 |
Bradley | Missouri Valley | 13 | 19 | 0% | 220 | 148 |
East Carolina | American | 14 | 16 | 0% | 221 | 187 |
North Florida | Atlantic Sun | 15 | 18 | 0% | 222 | 157 |
Western Kentucky | C-USA | 14 | 16 | 0% | 223 | 280 |
IUPUI | Summit | 13 | 17 | 0% | 224 | 232 |
Long Island University | Northeast | 20 | 12 | 0% | 225 | 341 |
Pacific | West Coast | 10 | 21 | 0% | 226 | 75 |
Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 11 | 20 | 0% | 227 | 115 |
DePaul | Big East | 9 | 21 | 0% | 228 | 74 |
Murray State | Ohio Valley | 16 | 16 | 0% | 229 | 271 |
Charlotte | C-USA | 13 | 15 | 0% | 230 | 212 |
Alcorn State | SWAC | 16 | 12 | 0% | 231 | 329 |
Pepperdine | West Coast | 9 | 21 | 0% | 231 | 67 |
South Carolina Upstate | Atlantic Sun | 18 | 14 | 0% | 233 | 290 |
High Point | Big South | 15 | 16 | 0% | 234 | 241 |
Northern Illinois | Mid American | 15 | 15 | 0% | 235 | 259 |
Nevada-Las Vegas | Mountain West | 11 | 19 | 0% | 236 | 134 |
Robert Morris | Northeast | 14 | 18 | 0% | 237 | 267 |
Wagner | Northeast | 16 | 13 | 0% | 237 | 323 |
South Alabama | Sun Belt | 13 | 17 | 0% | 239 | 169 |
Montana State | Big Sky | 16 | 14 | 0% | 240 | 286 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Sun Belt | 15 | 15 | 0% | 241 | 293 |
Duquesne | Atlantic 10 | 10 | 20 | 0% | 242 | 114 |
Portland | West Coast | 10 | 21 | 0% | 243 | 89 |
Lamar | Southland | 17 | 13 | 0% | 244 | 334 |
Saint Louis | Atlantic 10 | 11 | 19 | 0% | 245 | 137 |
Nicholls State | Southland | 14 | 16 | 0% | 246 | 263 |
Cleveland State | Horizon | 9 | 21 | 0% | 247 | 88 |
Delaware | Colonial | 12 | 19 | 0% | 248 | 186 |
Southeastern Louisiana | Southland | 16 | 15 | 0% | 248 | 325 |
Illinois-Chicago | Horizon | 14 | 17 | 0% | 250 | 257 |
Eastern Kentucky | Ohio Valley | 12 | 19 | 0% | 251 | 171 |
Texas-El Paso | C-USA | 13 | 16 | 0% | 251 | 255 |
Columbia | Ivy League | 11 | 14 | 0% | 253 | 278 |
Manhattan | Metro Atlantic | 10 | 22 | 0% | 254 | 152 |
Norfolk State | MEAC | 15 | 15 | 0% | 255 | 330 |
James Madison | Colonial | 9 | 22 | 0% | 256 | 131 |
Air Force | Mountain West | 11 | 19 | 0% | 257 | 108 |
Western Carolina | Southern | 9 | 22 | 0% | 258 | 112 |
Campbell | Big South | 16 | 16 | 0% | 259 | 311 |
Austin Peay | Ohio Valley | 11 | 19 | 0% | 260 | 191 |
Missouri | SEC | 7 | 22 | 0% | 261 | 80 |
Army | Patriot | 13 | 19 | 0% | 262 | 235 |
Kennesaw State | Atlantic Sun | 14 | 18 | 0% | 262 | 304 |
Seattle | Western Athletic | 13 | 15 | 0% | 264 | 266 |
Brown | Ivy League | 12 | 16 | 0% | 265 | 269 |
Saint Francis (PA) | Northeast | 15 | 15 | 0% | 266 | 339 |
Eastern Illinois | Ohio Valley | 14 | 15 | 0% | 267 | 333 |
Quinnipiac | Metro Atlantic | 10 | 21 | 0% | 268 | 182 |
Detroit Mercy | Horizon | 8 | 22 | 0% | 269 | 140 |
Youngstown State | Horizon | 11 | 20 | 0% | 270 | 216 |
Cal Poly | Big West | 11 | 18 | 0% | 271 | 275 |
Tennessee Tech | Ohio Valley | 12 | 20 | 0% | 272 | 238 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | Northeast | 11 | 19 | 0% | 273 | 258 |
Marist | Metro Atlantic | 8 | 24 | 0% | 274 | 138 |
Southeast Missouri State | Ohio Valley | 15 | 18 | 0% | 275 | 326 |
Drexel | Colonial | 9 | 22 | 0% | 276 | 213 |
Abilene Christian | Southland | 13 | 15 | 0% | 277 | 298 |
Portland State | Big Sky | 14 | 14 | 0% | 278 | 338 |
Bryant | Northeast | 12 | 20 | 0% | 279 | 233 |
Citadel | Southern | 11 | 20 | 0% | 280 | 189 |
Hampton | MEAC | 14 | 15 | 0% | 281 | 328 |
Oral Roberts | Summit | 8 | 22 | 0% | 282 | 102 |
Niagara | Metro Atlantic | 10 | 22 | 0% | 283 | 246 |
NJIT | Atlantic Sun | 10 | 21 | 0% | 284 | 223 |
Savannah State | MEAC | 13 | 16 | 0% | 285 | 331 |
Cornell | Ivy League | 7 | 20 | 0% | 286 | 162 |
Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5 | 25 | 0% | 287 | 61 |
Charleston Southern | Big South | 12 | 19 | 0% | 288 | 253 |
Hawaii | Big West | 14 | 14 | 0% | 288 | 309 |
Milwaukee | Horizon | 8 | 23 | 0% | 290 | 141 |
Colgate | Patriot | 10 | 22 | 0% | 291 | 270 |
South Carolina State | MEAC | 10 | 19 | 0% | 292 | 248 |
Jacksonville | Atlantic Sun | 17 | 15 | 0% | 293 | 348 |
Sacramento State | Big Sky | 12 | 16 | 0% | 293 | 307 |
Tulane | American | 5 | 24 | 0% | 295 | 118 |
Central Arkansas | Southland | 8 | 22 | 0% | 296 | 190 |
Cal State Northridge | Big West | 11 | 17 | 0% | 297 | 317 |
Florida Atlantic | C-USA | 10 | 18 | 0% | 297 | 254 |
Miami (OH) | Mid American | 11 | 19 | 0% | 299 | 180 |
Incarnate Word | Southland | 12 | 16 | 0% | 300 | 252 |
Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 8 | 20 | 0% | 301 | 151 |
South Florida | American | 7 | 21 | 0% | 302 | 149 |
Sacred Heart | Northeast | 13 | 19 | 0% | 303 | 327 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | MEAC | 12 | 19 | 0% | 304 | 313 |
Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 15 | 13 | 0% | 305 | 343 |
Massachusetts-Lowell | America East | 11 | 20 | 0% | 305 | 264 |
American | Patriot | 8 | 22 | 0% | 307 | 200 |
Northern Colorado | Big Sky | 10 | 18 | 0% | 307 | 289 |
Louisiana-Monroe | Sun Belt | 8 | 22 | 0% | 309 | 145 |
Binghamton | America East | 12 | 20 | 0% | 310 | 268 |
Northwestern State | Southland | 12 | 16 | 0% | 311 | 324 |
Prairie View | SWAC | 12 | 19 | 0% | 312 | 315 |
Texas-San Antonio | C-USA | 12 | 18 | 0% | 313 | 319 |
McNeese State | Southland | 7 | 21 | 0% | 314 | 158 |
Drake | Missouri Valley | 7 | 24 | 0% | 315 | 139 |
Chicago State | Western Athletic | 6 | 24 | 0% | 316 | 133 |
Lafayette | Patriot | 9 | 21 | 0% | 317 | 276 |
Maine | America East | 7 | 25 | 0% | 318 | 170 |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Western Athletic | 10 | 20 | 0% | 318 | 220 |
Dartmouth | Ivy League | 6 | 19 | 0% | 320 | 229 |
Jackson State | SWAC | 13 | 17 | 0% | 321 | 342 |
Morgan State | MEAC | 14 | 15 | 0% | 322 | 347 |
Southern | SWAC | 14 | 16 | 0% | 323 | 349 |
Western Illinois | Summit | 8 | 19 | 0% | 324 | 272 |
Virginia Military Institute | Southern | 6 | 23 | 0% | 325 | 144 |
Hartford | America East | 9 | 23 | 0% | 326 | 297 |
Grambling | SWAC | 14 | 16 | 0% | 327 | 344 |
Stetson | Atlantic Sun | 11 | 21 | 0% | 328 | 310 |
California-Santa Barbara | Big West | 5 | 22 | 0% | 329 | 116 |
California-Riverside | Big West | 8 | 20 | 0% | 330 | 292 |
Delaware State | MEAC | 10 | 21 | 0% | 331 | 335 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | Ohio Valley | 6 | 24 | 0% | 332 | 237 |
Coppin State | MEAC | 8 | 23 | 0% | 333 | 316 |
Mississippi Valley State | SWAC | 6 | 24 | 0% | 334 | 282 |
North Texas | C-USA | 8 | 21 | 0% | 335 | 240 |
Southern Mississippi | C-USA | 9 | 20 | 0% | 336 | 303 |
Idaho State | Big Sky | 5 | 24 | 0% | 337 | 226 |
Northern Arizona | Big Sky | 8 | 22 | 0% | 338 | 320 |
Longwood | Big South | 6 | 24 | 0% | 339 | 265 |
Howard | MEAC | 8 | 23 | 0% | 340 | 321 |
Florida International | C-USA | 6 | 24 | 0% | 341 | 236 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | SWAC | 7 | 24 | 0% | 342 | 318 |
Southern Utah | Big Sky | 5 | 25 | 0% | 343 | 279 |
Presbyterian | Big South | 5 | 25 | 0% | 344 | 243 |
Alabama State | SWAC | 8 | 21 | 0% | 345 | 337 |
Central Connecticut State | Northeast | 6 | 23 | 0% | 346 | 340 |
Bethune-Cookman | MEAC | 9 | 21 | 0% | 347 | 346 |
St. Francis (NY) | Northeast | 4 | 27 | 0% | 348 | 314 |
Florida A&M | MEAC | 7 | 22 | 0% | 349 | 350 |
North Carolina A&T | MEAC | 3 | 28 | 0% | 350 | 336 |
Alabama A&M | SWAC | 2 | 26 | 0% | 351 | 345 |
Here are our updated odds of each team advancing from the Sweet 16 through the championship game.
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These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.