ACC Tournament Probabilities

Virginia won the ACC regular season title outright for the second consecutive year. The Cavs enter the ACC tournament as the prohibitive favorites and Duke and Virginia have the best odds to reach the championship game. The ACC tournament will be played in Greensboro for the last time until 2020. The numbers in this table are the probabilities that a team will advance to each round of the tournament. Numbers to the left of team names indicate tournament seed. The ACC tournament begins on March 10.

2nd Round Quarterfinals Semifinals Final Champion
1   Virginia 100 100 93.8 78.3 54.5
2   Duke 100 100 79.5 62.7 28.1
4   Louisville 100 100 49.4 13.4 5.2
3   Notre Dame 100 100 67.8 20.5 4.7
5   North Carolina 100 84.9 49.6 11.6 4.6
7   N.C. State 100 66.5 17.1 5.9 1.9
6   Miami (FL) 100 78.0 27.8 5.2 0.8
10   Pittsburgh 100 34.6 4.3 1.1 0.1
8   Clemson 100 54.4 3.4 0.7 0.08
9   Florida State 100 46.7 2.5 0.4 0.04
12   Boston College 57 9.2 1.6 0.10 0.01
11   Wake Forest 61 14.2 2.0 0.12 0.005
13   Georgia Tech 43 5.5 0.7 0.03 0.003
14   Virginia Tech 39 6.1 0.5 0.02 0.001


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