2018 Tournament Overview


This tough region has a number of upset opportunities. 11 seed Loyola and 12 seed Davidson in particular have chances to bust a lot of brackets in this region.

Virginia is as close as this tournament has to a clear favorite with Cincinnati as the most plausible obstacle.


No obvious upset opportunities present themselves in this region, excepting 9 seed Florida State as the slight favorite to win their first game.

The later rounds will be much more interesting in the West. 4 seed Gonzaga and 2 seed North Carolina have the best chances to advance, with Xavier, Michigan, Ohio State, and even Houston with reasonable chances to make the Final Four.


10 seed Butler headlines the first round upset chances in the East. In the second round, our model likes Texas Tech as a significant favorite to make the Sweet 16.

Our model has Villanova and Purdue as both roughly equally likely to win the region and advance.


12 seed New Mexico State has a real chance to beat Clemson in the first round, and TCU will have its hands full with Syracuse if they win their play-in game.

We have both Duke and Michigan State as more likely to advance than top seed Kansas.

Final Four

The East/Midwest pairing is the most interesting matchup here; Purdue, Villanova, Duke, and Michigan State are all reasonable choices to advance to the championship game.

BracketAdvice has Virginia as a clear favorite to crush whoever advances in the West region and then win its first national championship.

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