2018 Sweet 16 Odds of Advancing

Here are our updated odds of each team advancing from the Sweet 16 through the championship game.

Regional Semis Regional Champion Semifinals Championship
Kentucky 62.6%
Kansas State 37.4%
Kentucky 35.3%
Nevada 28.1%
Loyola (Ill.) 20.5%
Kansas State 16.2%
Gonzaga 30.1%
Michigan 23.7%
Kentucky 14.4%
Nevada 10.4%
Loyola (Ill.) 6.7%
Florida State 5.2%
Kansas State 4.8%
Texas A&M 4.7%
Duke 32.3%
Villanova 25.4%
Purdue 19.4%
Gonzaga 7.4%
Michigan 5.2%
Kansas 2.5%
Kentucky 2.2%
Nevada 1.4%
Loyola (Ill.) 0.7%
West Virginia 0.7%
Florida State 0.6%
Texas Tech 0.6%
Texas A&M 0.5%
Clemson 0.5%
Kansas State 0.5%
Syracuse 0.1%
Nevada 55.2%
Loyola (Ill.) 44.8%
Gonzaga 71.6%
Florida State 28.4%
Gonzaga 43.1%
Michigan 36.0%
Florida State 10.8%
Texas A&M 10.1%
Michigan 69.4%
Texas A&M 30.6%
Villanova 82.5%
West Virginia 17.5%
Villanova 49.5%
Purdue 41.7%
West Virginia 4.6%
Texas Tech 4.2%
Duke 38.7%
Villanova 30.0%
Purdue 23.6%
Kansas 4.1%
West Virginia 1.3%
Texas Tech 1.1%
Clemson 1.1%
Syracuse 0.2%
Purdue 80.9%
Texas Tech 19.1%
Kansas 63.3%
Clemson 36.7%
Duke 74.2%
Kansas 16.8%
Clemson 6.7%
Syracuse 2.3%
Duke 91.8%
Syracuse 8.2%

These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.



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