2016 Sweet 16 Odds

Here are our updated odds of each team advancing from the Sweet 16 through the championship game.

Regional Semis Regional Champion Semifinals Championship
Kansas 69.0%
Maryland 31.0%
Kansas 40.7%
Villanova 32.3%
Miami (Fla.) 14.8%
Maryland 12.2%
Kansas 27.7%
Villanova 20.6%
Oklahoma 11.9%
Duke 9.9%
Oregon 9.5%
Miami (Fla.) 7.7%
Texas A&M 7.0%
Maryland 5.9%
Virginia 17.8%
Kansas 16.6%
North Carolina 14.8%
Villanova 11.5%
Indiana 6.9%
Oklahoma 5.3%
Duke 4.2%
Oregon 4.0%
Gonzaga 3.9%
Miami (Fla.) 3.3%
Texas A&M 2.7%
Maryland 2.4%
Iowa State 2.1%
Wisconsin 1.7%
Syracuse 1.4%
Notre Dame 1.3%
Villanova 62.4%
Miami (Fla.) 37.6%
Duke 50.5%
Oregon 49.5%
Oklahoma 29.4%
Duke 25.6%
Oregon 24.9%
Texas A&M 20.1%
Oklahoma 56.2%
Texas A&M 43.8%
North Carolina 58.7%
Indiana 41.3%
North Carolina 43.9%
Indiana 27.8%
Wisconsin 15.1%
Notre Dame 13.1%
Virginia 30.5%
North Carolina 25.9%
Indiana 14.1%
Gonzaga 9.7%
Iowa State 5.8%
Wisconsin 5.3%
Syracuse 4.4%
Notre Dame 4.3%
Wisconsin 52.1%
Notre Dame 47.9%
Virginia 71.0%
Iowa State 29.0%
Virginia 50.3%
Gonzaga 22.6%
Iowa State 14.5%
Syracuse 12.6%
Gonzaga 58.8%
Syracuse 41.2%

These predictions were made using a Monte Carlo simulation that simulated the tournament 1 million times using the BracketAdvice ratings to predict game outcomes.



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